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How can American policymakers adequately value the long term given the uncertainty of the future and the resulting pressure to focus on the short term? In his report, “Strategic Foresight in U.S. Agencies,” ������Ƶ International Security Program Senior Fellow J. Peter Scoblic examines how the Coast Guard and other national security agencies have planned for the future, with a particular focus on the practice of strategic foresight. Among the report’s recommendations is a call for the president to establish an office to lead strategic foresight efforts at the national level in order to coordinate current piecemeal efforts.

To discuss how the U.S. government and the national security establishment engage in long-term anticipatory thinking, J. Peter Scoblic is joined by Anne-Marie Slaughter, CEO of ������Ƶ, who served as Director of Policy Planning for the State Department from 2009-2011. In addition to authoring the report, J. Peter Scoblic is a Senior Fellow with ������Ƶ’s International Security program and co-founder of Event Horizon Strategies, a foresight consultancy. Anne-Marie Slaughter is also the Bert G. Kerstetter '66 University Professor Emerita of Politics and International Affairs at Princeton University.

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Speakers:

J. Peter Scoblic,
Author, “Strategic Foresight in U.S. Agencies”
Senior Fellow, ������Ƶ International Security Program
Co-Founder, Event Horizon Strategies

Anne-Marie Slaughter,
CEO, ������Ƶ
Former Director of Policy Planning, U.S. State Department

Moderator:

Peter Bergen,
Vice President, ������Ƶ