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After Inconclusive Elections, Italy Must Stave Off Political Instability

Italian Elections
Marco Iacobucci EPP / Shutterstock.com

After another tedious campaign of promises and hardly feasible plans, last month, Italians went to the polls to vote for the new members of Parliament, seeking to bring stability to a country that hasn鈥檛 had a solid government in years. 国产视频 of those with the right to vote went to the polls鈥攁 surprisingly high number that shows the desire of Italian citizens to alter the status quo.

And yet: One month later, the country still doesn鈥檛 have a government. As an Italian citizen, political uncertainty is hardly new to me. Temporary governments, lengthy consultations, and unsuccessful alliances have been the core of my country鈥檚 politics as far back as I can remember. The March elections only seem to confirm this trend: Despite the impressive voter turnout, the results suggest that the goal of a politically stable Italy remains at arm鈥檚 length for Italians, who once again face a harsh reality of political gridlock, regional division, and a souring relationship with the rest of Europe. In addition, Italy is the latest country to have to navigate precarious populist winds.

In a turn of events few observers could have seen coming, traditional parties like the Democratic Party (Partito Democratico, or PD), led by former Prime Minister Matteo Renzi, experienced a devastating political setback, with most voters having turned to minority parties. The 5-Star Movement (Movimento 5 Stelle), founded by former comedian Beppe Grillo and led by Luigi Di Maio, gained of the total votes鈥攅nough to make it the party with the most electoral support, but not enough for it to obtain a majority in Parliament. On top of that, a right-wing coalition of parties鈥攆ormed by Matteo Salvini鈥檚 League (Lega) and former Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi鈥檚 Forza Italia, among others鈥攚on the most seats, with about of the votes. While Berlusconi was expected to have a successful comeback as a political figure, the most popular party in the alliance turned out to be the anti-immigrant League, which eclipsed Forza Italia and to become the predominant right-wing party in Italy.

Because of the fractured results, Italy is bound to face another period of political deadlock, as the elected parties negotiate in hope of forming a new government. As political consultations continue this week, Di Maio has expressed his intention to remain open to cooperation with both the League and the PD. Salvini, on the other hand, only considers the 5-Star Movement to be a potential ally, and in turn has excluded any possible alliance with Renzi鈥檚 party. In the unfortunate鈥攖hough , given the parties鈥 competing priorities and interests鈥攃ase that party leaders can鈥檛 forge an alliance, current Italian President Sergio Mattarella will have to create a temporary government and call for new elections.

While the dust has yet to settle, the results of the 2018 elections already highlight several issues鈥攂oth for Italy and for Europe more broadly. On a national level, the elections have brought center stage a striking divide between Italy鈥檚 North and South, which are once again placing their trust in radically different parties. The comparatively underdeveloped South almost unanimously voted for the inexperienced 5-Star Movement, which promises a to fight poverty and unemployment. Meanwhile, in the generally wealthier and more industrialized North, far-right parties led by Salvini and Berlusconi prevailed at the polls.

This isn鈥檛 to say, of course, that there isn鈥檛 a history to this divide. In fact, to an extent, there have always been some differences between Italy鈥檚 northern and southern regions, dating back to when the country was united in 1861. But fast-forwarding, the 2008 economic recession seemed to catalyze these differences, and only worsen the condition of the 鈥渘oon,鈥 as Italians refer to the South, bringing unemployment there , almost three times that of the North. (Made worse given that Italy is also one of the most indebted countries in the eurozone.) After a series of established parties were unable to provide the South with the aid it needed, the logical next step was, apparently, the 5-Star Movement, whose political proposals, however economically unrealistic, bring hope to a region that had all but abandoned it years ago. The North, on the other hand, opted for more radical figures, ones that promise to put 鈥淚talians first鈥 (sound familiar?) and stem the waves of refugees arriving in Italy almost every day.

Indeed, the refugee crisis was one of the driving themes of the most recent elections, in large part because Italy鈥檚 geographical position has turned it into of Europe鈥檚 larger immigration issue. The enormous number of migrants who鈥檝e reached the southern coast by sea, the European Union鈥檚 perceived failure to economically support Italy, and the controversial distribution of refugees among EU countries are all factors that have fueled tensions between the North and South. In consequence, right-wing parties like the League have been rather successful at appealing to racism and nationalism, bolstering anti-immigration sentiments. As Italy tries to forge a new government in the weeks to come, it鈥檚 key to keep an eye on how these issues might shake out in negotiations, and what ramifications they might bring along with them.

But this election wrangling has implications for the rest of Europe, too. More specifically, observing the elections doesn鈥檛 only teach us lots about what鈥檚 going on in Italy, but it also confirms a wider trend that鈥檚 been playing out across the continent over the last few years: a rising tide of populism. Italy is in fact only the latest of a number of European countries鈥攊ncluding Germany, the Czech Republic, France, Poland, Hungary, and the United Kingdom鈥攖o have witnessed for left- and right-wing populist parties. A by the European Policy Information Center found that around one-fifth of European voters, or 55.8 million people, pick left- or right-wing populist parties. This shift is a cause of concern for many EU supporters, who fear that populism will harm the European Union鈥檚 unity and collective ideology.

And let鈥檚 not forget about the refugee crisis. Not only has it sparked negative opinions toward the mainly North African and Middle Eastern migrants, but it鈥檚 also strained Italy鈥檚 relationship with the European Union. While the country had long been mostly pro-European Union, the arguable lack of help it鈥檚 received聽in addressing the influx of refugees鈥攂oth in terms of financial allocations and refugee distribution鈥攈as stoked anger toward the political bloc, as Italians generally feel abandoned by other European countries.

This negative sentiment has ballooned since the elections: Both the 5-Star Movement and the League share a toward the European Union, and may want to change Italy鈥檚 role in it. In particular, young people in Italy seem to hold the strongest anti-EU sentiment. A study conducted by the Benenson Strategy Group in 2017 found that of voters under 45 would vote to leave the the European Union in a hypothetical referendum, while 46 percent would vote to remain.

While an 鈥淚talexit鈥 isn鈥檛 likely to happen any time soon, it鈥檚 undeniable that troubling anti-EU sentiments are on the rise, and that the current political candidates, who鈥檝e again hit the campaign trail ahead of regional elections later this month, are perfectly aware of it. As the country grapples with the fact that it has yet to find a consensus candidate or build an alliance, these issues will only grow in importance. As a result, it鈥檚 crucial to factor in what any decision will mean not only within Italy, but also when it comes to its relationship with Europe, which in important ways is already navigating tenuous political waters.

It鈥檚 still too early to have a definitive idea of what the future of Italy or the European Union might look like in light of the recent elections. But the issues that have surfaced since Italians went to the ballot box are clear鈥攖hough it seems as if we鈥檙e doomed to more political instability, and that no party seems willing to counter it. So, the question I have for my country now is: Will its political leaders present a united front in time to do anything about these issues? Or continue to do what they鈥檝e always done?

More 国产视频 the Authors

Claudia Chiappa
After Inconclusive Elections, Italy Must Stave Off Political Instability