Becky Sweger
Data Engineering Lead, New Practice Lab
One of our greatest poverty fighting tools is behind the tax system
The 2026 tax filing season is here, bringing with it a tax code that delivers the most effective anti-poverty initiative for children in the United States: refundable tax credits. Unlike most tax credits, are issued as cash refunds when they exceed the amount of taxes owed. Eligible filers who don鈥檛 owe taxes receive the full amount of the credit as a refund.
In 2024, the Census Bureau reported that . For the 2025 tax year, a family with three qualifying children could be through the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) and .
Federal eligibility requirements for both the EITC and the CTC have recently become more restrictive. Last year鈥檚 One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) disqualifies children from CTC eligibility when neither parent has a social security number (SSN). As a result, .
The good news is that many states have expanded access: . The dollar amounts are smaller than their Federal counterparts but are often available to a broader pool of people: nearly half of the twenty nine states allow filers without a Social Security number to receive refundable credits.
Between the federal and state programs, there are significant amounts of money available, but critically, individuals need to file taxes to get it. Year after year, up to 20% of people potentially don鈥檛 file taxes (often because they don鈥檛 make enough to be legally required), or fail to claim the credits on their tax form.
In 2025, NPL conducted a comprehensive survey to better understand the underlying issues that result in people not filing taxes. With a sample size of over 5,000 households, mostly from people with lower incomes who file taxes infrequently or not at all, the New Practice Lab released its report Designed for Filing, Not for Families: Reimagining Tax Credit Delivery, in May of last year. The report examined filing barriers individually, diving deeply into awareness, the fear of making mistakes, the cost of filing, and the complexity of the tax code. NPL also examined the survey data with a more holistic lens: when combined into a single list, which filing barriers did respondents cite the most frequently?
As a new filing season kicks off, we鈥檙e publishing the list to spotlight what : systemic and practical barriers 鈥 more than awareness of tax credits 鈥 are the main reasons that people don鈥檛 file taxes, even if they stand to receive a refund. The top five challenges reported by survey respondents are all related to the act of filing taxes:
Many governments looking to ensure that refundable tax credits reach more people start with outreach campaigns to increase awareness. These campaigns range from ads about tax credits on billboards and bus stops to targeted letters, e-mails, and texts to potentially eligible families. It鈥檚 a natural starting place because outreach doesn’t require extensive resources or policy changes. Additionally, there is evidence in the field that a thoughtful outreach campaign (especially when data-driven) does have a .
Outreach campaigns generally tackle the “awareness” problem. Of the survey respondents who reported facing one of these barriers to filing, less than 10 percent cited lack of awareness as the only problem:
Our research 鈥 both quantitative and qualitative 鈥 shows participation of those that are eligible in tax credit programs will only be possible by addressing practical barriers to filing. Because filing taxes is currently the only way to claim EITC and CTC money, there must be a straightforward, frictionless path to doing it 鈥 and our team has begun work with states to find solutions that do this.
Within revenue departments, compliance typically refers to finding people and businesses that owe taxes and haven鈥檛 paid them. What if governments broadened the scope of compliance to proactively look for people who are owed money?
If state revenue departments expand their own definition of compliance, they can use data and processes to identify individuals who are eligible to receive tax credits and haven鈥檛 claimed them, like .
Almost half of our survey respondents reported difficulty finding the documentation required for filing, which is why pre-populating tax forms is another important strategy for reducing filing barriers.
Governments can pre-fill tax forms with data they already have, saving individuals time and effort when tracking down their documents. As a bonus, pre-population also helps mitigate two of the other top five filing challenges: the fear of making mistakes and trouble understanding technical tax instructions.
Because states have different and different data sharing laws, there鈥檚 no one-size-fits-all list of available data sources for pre-population. Some potential avenues include:
A natural next step after enhanced compliance and pre-population is shifting the burden of eligibility checks from the individual to the government. Could it be possible for governments to determine who is eligible for tax credits and reduce (or eliminate) the amount of work required to claim them?
It won鈥檛 be easy. Data privacy and program integrity are important considerations, but small, tactical pilot projects are valuable tools for understanding what鈥檚 possible and adjusting to new processes.
Although refundable tax credits are an important anti-poverty tool, many potential beneficiaries are shut out because too many barriers stand between them and a completed tax return.
As Devyani Singh, the New Practice Lab鈥檚 data and strategic impact lead, noted in a , 鈥淭he decision not to file wasn鈥檛 about motivation but rather about complexity, fear, and survival.鈥
As revenue departments recognize their role in delivering this critical cash, some are going beyond typical outreach methods and addressing these more structural barriers. We must continue exploring meaningful solutions that smooth the filing process like those above to ensure that those entitled to refundable tax credits get them.