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In Short

The Rise of Dismal Science Fiction

The Rise of Dismal Science Fiction
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After William Gibson coined the term听cyberspace听in his 1984 novel听, it almost immediately entered our everyday vocabulary. A play on information theorist Norbert Wiener鈥檚 idea of cybernetics,听cyberspace听became shorthand for the world inside our networked computers, that digital landscape where we met to chat, play games, and exchange intimate secrets. Today,听cyber听is part of our political language, too, used to describe听听from digital warfare to online intelligence gathering. What often gets forgotten about the origin story of this term is that Gibson wasn鈥檛 just talking the future of computers, but of a world where tech corporations rule every aspect of our lives.

We鈥檙e used to science fiction providing us with commentary on technology, and vocabulary to discuss its more worrisome consequences. But underlying our fears of robots stealing our jobs or corporations turning us into consumer droids are more basic anxieties about money鈥攁nd science fiction is increasingly reflecting that. For audiences grappling with the fear of poverty, or simply bewildered by postmodern economics, stories like听,听, and Malka Older鈥檚 critically acclaimed novel听听function like Aesop鈥檚 Fables for the 21st听肠别苍迟耻谤测.

In 2011, HBO debuted the first season of听Game of Thrones, based on George R.R. Martin鈥檚 A Song of Ice and Fire series. Martin told听听in 2014 that he was inspired by all the things J.R.R. Tolkien left out of听, including 鈥淎ragon鈥檚 tax policy.鈥 Though the novels had been popular, the show became a global obsession for audiences who could clearly catch the allegorical sting in the money-mad Lannister family鈥檚 slogan, 鈥淎 Lannister always pays his debts.鈥 Gold, class divisions, and oligarchy ripped the fantasy continent of Westeros apart.

Ed Finn, who heads the听Center for Science and the Imagination听at听Arizona State University, believes we鈥檙e using fantasy to confront fears rather than erase them.听(Finn is the academic director of Future Tense, a partnership between ASU, Slate, and 国产视频.) He says that听Game of Thrones听has become 鈥渁 yardstick to assess what鈥檚 happening in the real world and decide whether we should be concerned.鈥 The bloodthirsty rulers of Westeros 鈥済ive us a set of metaphors in common that we can use to talk about complicated things in an approachable way.鈥澨Game of Thrones听doesn鈥檛 spirit us away from our problems. Instead, the show allows us to identify what鈥檚 wrong. That鈥檚 why references to Westeros have become so common among听听补苍诲听.

The Mother of Dragons is just one of many economic metaphors haunting our pop culture.听gave us a neo-Depression dystopia where media-obsessed elites tormenting the starving lower classes. One of the hottest sci-fi shows on TV,听, is about class warfare in the asteroid belt. Indie director Boots Riley鈥檚 forthcoming movie听,which just debuted at Sundance, is about a telemarketer who sells people indentured servitude packages. Even if you flee into the world of superheroes, you鈥檒l run into Black Panther听.

Of course, fantasy and science fiction have tackled economics before. The original听听is a nightmare about endless recession, and Isaac Asimov鈥檚 celebrated 1950s听听was partly about saving the galaxy with sound economic programs. The fear of automation, where humans are replaced by robot labor, goes back to the earliest roots of the genre: Karel Capek鈥檚 play听R.U.R., which听, was about a robot labor uprising.

But a new urgency infused the genre in the wake of the 2008鈥09 financial crisis.听This crisis has become a powerful symbol for creators, almost the same way the听atomic听bomb听was for science-fiction writers in the 1950s.

In 2008, the novelist Max Gladstone returned to the United States after working at nongovernmental organizations in China, and 鈥渋t felt like the world鈥檚 value was evaporating. There was a kind of religious shock in the burning ruins of Lehman Brothers,鈥 he told me. His first novel,听, published in 2012, was a mythical reimagining of the financial crisis. In it, attorney-necromancers battle over how to carve up the body of a dying god whose every part has been used as a magical financial instrument to leverage his city鈥檚 failing economy. 鈥淵ou can鈥檛 tell a story like [the financial crisis] with realism,鈥 said Gladstone. 鈥淵ou need fantasy to explain it.鈥

University of California鈥揜iverside economic historian Juliette Levy teaches zombie tales in her economics classes, and she鈥檚 interested in science-fiction novels like Paolo Bacigalupi鈥檚听and Ann Leckie鈥檚听. In these kinds of stories, set in worlds ripped apart by starvation and war, characters are less concerned with markets than they are with basic survival. Nevertheless, this kind of 鈥渄ark鈥 science fiction, Levy said, deals with 鈥渢he foundation of economics, which is scarcity.鈥 Over the past two decades, people have become acutely aware of the planet鈥檚 dwindling supply of clean water, oil, food, and other resources. There鈥檚 also a growing fear that our poverty will come faster, as automation devalues human labor.听听shows us a world where synthetic humans called replicants work as detectives and information analysts while human children sort trash in junkyard orphanages.

Whether or not people understand the complexities of economics, said Levy, they are 鈥渆xperiencing [scarcity] actively or are afraid of it on a regular basis.鈥 Still, she finds that the economics in science fiction often feel 鈥渟implistic.鈥 But just as Stanley Kubrick famously consulted MIT researcher听听about A.I. for the movie听2001: A Space Odyssey,some writers鈥攊ncluding me鈥攁re turning to economists to make their financial worlds more plausible. Ken Liu, whose 2015 novel听was snapped up by DMG Entertainment for a possible film, said that his fantasy world building 鈥渢ends to place a lot of emphasis on the technology of politics, land ownership systems, and the administrative state in part as a result of reading the works of [Santa Fe Institute economist] W. Brian Arthur.鈥

When I was writing my novel听, I wanted to explore a future where automation has ushered in a world whose economy is built in part on indentured servitude. So I met with economist and Bloomberg columnist Noah Smith, who immediately started world building like a fiction writer. He suggested that I imagine that people in the 22nd听century have lost the right to work or live wherever they like, unless they pay for the privilege. As a result, work itself becomes pay-to-play, and people without money have no choice but to sign indenture contracts.

I wasn鈥檛 aiming to create a metaphor. I was trying to be as literal as possible about how easy it would be to slide backward into the savagery of a slave economy. By incorporating the ideas of a working economist, I hoped to offer readers a believable thought experiment about the real-life dangers of unchecked capitalism.

Economists wouldn鈥檛 mind doing a little more consulting work for fiction writers. Just as physicists love to complain about terrible science in space operas, Smith had a lot of gripes about all the unrealistic economic ideas in current pop culture. (The Iron Bank鈥檚 investment policy in听Game of Thrones听was a particular target of scorn.) Nobel-winning economist Paul Krugman, a science-fiction fan, told me that it 鈥渨ould be nice鈥 if he could be consulted on fantasy economics once in a while, too.

He just might get his wish. As long as the economy continues to be a source of tremendous anxiety, it鈥檚 going to fill our fantasies with alien currencies and demonic financial instruments. Maybe by confronting our problems in metaphors and thought experiments, we equip ourselves to solve them in the real world.

This听听originally appeared听in听, a collaboration among听,听, and听.

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Annalee Newitz
The Rise of Dismal Science Fiction