Jane Greenway Carr
Editorial Fellow
鈥淚t鈥檚 meant to be a thriller,鈥 says Steve LeVine of his new book, The Powerhouse: Inside the Invention of a Battery to Save the World, that 鈥渢akes the reader into the world of the battery scientist.鈥 While a bit tongue-in-cheek, this description underscores the high stakes involved in the global dash to create a battery powerful enough to run an electric car 300 miles on a single charge. The current sprinters? Japan, South Korea, China and the United States.
There aren鈥檛 very many inventions that can do substantial good in the world and help their makers get wildly rich in the process. But according to LeVine, Washington correspondent for Quartz and a Future Tense Fellow at 国产视频, a superbattery鈥攐ne that will improve upon the lithium-ion battery and thereby take electric cars mainstream鈥攊s just that kind of invention. Those who bring it to market will cash in to the potential tune of $300 billion and the rest of us will breathe progressively less polluted air as we traverse the roadways in our all-electric vehicles.
In The Powerhouse, LeVine reveals the drama generated by the lithium-ion battery by tracking two parallel narratives: the work at Argonne National Laboratory鈥檚 battery program, home to scientists LeVine calls the world鈥檚 鈥渂attery geniuses,鈥 and efforts of Silicon Valley start-ups like EnVia Systems (the first licensee for Argonne鈥檚 material). Researchers in both settings are racing to build a product marketable enough to secure contracts and a billion-dollar IPO. The book, says Levine, is 鈥渞eflective of that environment鈥here so much hope and buzz and really a fever had come to center on the battery.鈥
As these dual stories unfold, LeVine explained at a recent event at 国产视频, 鈥淚t鈥檚 not quite a collision course, but they鈥檙e driving down the same lanes.鈥 As a storyteller, he added, it was important to him for the book 鈥渘ot to be a hagiography about technology and invention,鈥 but rather an account of how innovation happens, viewed through the lens of a colorful set of characters.
One of those characters is Jeff Chamberlain, manager of the Argonne battery program, who is 鈥渢his evangelistic motivator, painting the stakes in very large colors.鈥 Those brush-strokes add up to a portrait of fear, notes LeVine, because the pressure is fierce to hit the finish line first. Since Sony commercialized the lithium-ion battery in 1991 and Toyota unveiled the Prius in 1996, transformative battery innovations have been scarce, and both President Obama and China鈥檚 Minister of Science and Technology have vowed publicly to put one million electric cars on the road in 2015 (a goal that neither will achieve this year but to which both remain committed in the longer term, though China recently saw in 2014 ). The idea that China might win the battery race is, to LeVine鈥檚 mind, the 鈥渂锚te noire鈥 for scientists like Chamberlain.
Another theme that LeVine emphasized in his conversation with Donna Harris, co-founder of the start-up hub 1776, was the effect of what could be called the 鈥淏ell Labs diaspora.鈥 Alumni of Bell Labs, which developed the transistor in the late 1940s, populate the entire ecosystem of the battery race, from university laboratories to government agencies to industry. Between Energy Secretary Steven Chu鈥檚 proposed creation of 鈥淏ell Lablets鈥 and the widespread realization that Bell鈥檚 managerial system could be conducive to greater innovation, previously bitter rivals like Matt Thackeray鈥檚 Berkeley lab and Chamberlain鈥檚 team at Argonne managed to forge collaborations that made them both more competitive in the superbattery sprint.
It鈥檚 important to remember that neither the electric car nor the superbattery are fait accompli, LeVine pointed out: 鈥淛ust because we want them and the stakes are so high doesn鈥檛 mean they will happen.鈥 To reap the dividends, all the stakeholders in the race need to re-think their assumptions. For Chamberlain and his compatriots, this meant admitting that they need a new roadmap, to 鈥渦nderstand the science [of batteries] at the atomic level鈥 and work from there.
For those in business and government, LeVine argues, re-thinking things means putting together a format for participation that 鈥渏ettisons our allergy to violating [a] free market ethos and coming up with a formula of intellectual property-sharing that involves industry and the inventors.鈥 He dismisses as 鈥渇oolhardy鈥 the industry forecasting that predicts that 25 years from now, electric, fuel-cell, natural gas, and plug-in hybrid cars will only comprise 5 percent of the market. 鈥淲e live in an age of utter disruption,鈥 he marveled, citing shale oil and gas as two examples of game-changers that no one predicted.
Along with cutthroat competition and the promise of future innovation in the race for the superbattery, warns LeVine, comes a healthy dose of bullshit, which he says is often the cost of doing business in technology鈥攏o matter whether you鈥檙e in a lab or a start-up. Looking back on his research for The Powerhouse, LeVine was surprised by the pervasiveness of the 鈥渆xaggeration, hype, and lies.鈥 He reflected to Harris, 鈥淓dison famously said in the 1920s that batteries鈥攅specially rechargeable batters鈥攁re a special province of liars. And there is a twist in the book where we learn that law. That was a very big shock to me.鈥
But when you鈥檝e published a book about a technology race that鈥檚 still being run, twists and turns come with the territory.