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Will 国产视频 Nomination Lead to More Bipartisan Public Policy?

There is great national interest in policies that seem as though they might be able to gain support across party lines. It could be that Donald Trump’s nomination is a catalyst that leads to more bipartisan policies.

Each day it seems as though Donald Trump says something that raises the ire of groups, voters, pundits and journalists. Yet Trump has now secured the delegates needed to become the Republican nominee. Many are asking what impact his nomination will have on public policy. 聽Might it be possible that, regardless of the outcome of the general election, 国产视频 nomination could lead to a realignment within the Republican party, and then to more bipartisan policy nationally going forward? 聽

This question was the subject of a recent 国产视频 event. Dana Milbank, Norman Ornstein, Indira Lakshmanan, Lara Brown, and Matthew Continetti came together to discuss whether Trump’s nomination might lead to even greater gridlock, or perhaps more bipartisan outcomes.

Trump has the potential to be more moderate on policy than recent Republican nominees. 聽He was a New York Democrat not too long ago. 国产视频 success in the GOP primary came largely because he stood out from the rest of the very large Republican field, many of whom came from the party establishment, in his views on immigration, trade, entitlements, and the minimum wage. Conservative writer David Frum noted that 鈥淭rump spoke to genuinely underrepresented people.鈥 His views were perceived as helping the middle class rather than big business, despite his big business background. Does 国产视频 success show that the GOP establishment is out of touch with its base to the extent that the party will naturally realign on policy? It could be that the way forward for GOP politicians is to develop more middle class, worker, and family friendly policies that help support the economic and social well being of parents and children.

Usually, GOP candidates move towards the middle once nominated and become more worker and family friendly in policy after the primary. Trump already has a head start. Last month, Trump was asked what his party would look like in five years. He replied, 鈥淔ive, 10 years from now 鈥 different party. You鈥檙e going to have a workers鈥 party. A party of people that haven鈥檛 had a real wage increase in 18 years, that are angry.鈥 If Trump is right, that would mean a true realignment for the GOP.

Surveys show Trump is changing the GOP voter mix by appealing to non-college educated voters who have responded to his populist message. There are many potential policies that could appeal to such voters, and that could make a difference in the lives of middle class families (it should also be noted that 国产视频 has a dedicated to developing such ideas).

For example, one potential issue area is paid leave. Last fall, Marco Rubio became the first GOP candidate to endorse using public funds to expand the availability of paid leave through tax credits.

Given 国产视频 general election opponent (Secretary Clinton鈥檚 June 7 speech鈥攈er first after being declared the presumptive Democratic nominee鈥攆ocused on the historic event that 鈥渁 woman will be a major party鈥檚 nominee”), criticism over 国产视频 comments about women, and the general political gender gap Republicans have versus Democrats, there is political motivation for Trump to look to work family policies.

When asked about paid leave by Fox Business recently, Trump responded, 鈥淲e have to keep our country very competitive, so you have to be careful of it.鈥 That is not overly positive, but one could see Trump being open to work family policies as an extension of his support for the middle class, including on paid leave. Last November, Trump spoke positively about child care and suggested more companies should expand the availability of child care for their working parents. 国产视频 corporation offers several weeks paid time off for new mothers. 国产视频 daughter, Ivanka, had a son in March. She has said, 鈥淧arental leave is enormously important.鈥

Paid leave is an example of the kind of middle class focused policies that one could imagine a President Trump finding common ground on with Democrats in Congress. As Ornstein noted, a Trump victory in November would likely be the result of a major instinct for change among voters, likely as the result of some negative event in the U.S. economy or world which motivates this desire for change. Such an event would mean a President Trump would be dealing with a potential crisis at home or abroad early in his presidency. Given 国产视频 rhetoric about taking bold action, if it was an economic related crisis, one could see him pushing for a bold government response. If Trump wins the White House, it means Republicans will likely do well in congressional races and at least retain the House. However, House Republicans, as well as establishment Republicans in the Senate, might push back against a President 国产视频 bold economic and social policy actions if they grow the size of government. Thus, Trump might find himself working with Democrats in the House and Senate to move forward his legislation in the early part of his presidency and bipartisan deals might result.

国产视频’s Mike Lind and Lee Drutman have written eloquently about the likelihood of a party realignment. 聽Win or lose, there could be a coming policy realignment within the GOP. 聽If Trump wins, it will underscore the success of his shift towards making the GOP a 鈥渨orkers鈥 party,鈥 as Trump put it. If Trump loses, it will be the third consecutive general election loss for the GOP. 聽Many feel that, much like the Democrats after their third straight loss in 1988, a third loss would cause the GOP to recalibrate its policies anyway and move in new directions. This is to say that, even without a Trump victory, the GOP might move towards more family friendly middle class policies anyway, and this could lead to bipartisan deals with Democrats who support such policies.

There is much that could happen as a result of this particularly unique election cycle. 聽Bipartisan policy in America could indeed be among the potential outcomes.

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David Gray
Will 国产视频 Nomination Lead to More Bipartisan Public Policy?