A project of Future Security
The Future Security Scenarios Lab at 国产视频 helps decision makers navigate accelerating technological change, geopolitical volatility, and mounting global risks by integrating advanced foresight tools with insights from decision theory. Using scenario planning, forecasting, strategic simulations, and systems analysis, the Lab examines how cognitive biases, mental models, and human judgment shape national security outcomes, equipping leaders to anticipate emerging challenges, stress-test assumptions, and design more resilient strategies for an uncertain world.
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Grounded in a mission that spans AI and nuclear futures, internal force multiplication across 国产视频, and broader field building, the Lab explores how technologies and shifting power dynamics interact with the cognitive foundations of security. By pairing structured foresight with an understanding of how decisions are actually made under uncertainty, the Lab democratizes security thinking, cultivates a diverse community of practitioners, and delivers actionable insights that help policymakers respond with clarity, agility, and confidence.
At a moment when most analysis is focused on what the strikes against Iran achieved, Petit asks the harder question: what do they make possible鈥攁nd for whom? His answer is specific, unsettling, and exactly the kind of thinking that should be shaping decisions right now, not in six months.
Research Associate, Future Security Scenarios Lab
Research Associate, Future Security Scenarios Lab
Nonresident Senior Fellow, Future Security Program
Director, Future Security Scenarios Lab; Senior Fellow, Future Security Program
Nonresident Senior Fellow, Future Security Scenarios Lab