All Disasters Are Local. Resilience Should Be, Too
Table of Contents
Abstract
In February 2019, 国产视频 gathered a group of technologists, first responders, community activists, storytellers, and researchers to talk about the rising tide of natural disasters in America and how technology can help vulnerable communities be more resilient.
This report includes a summary of expert presentations and recommendations from six working groups. The recommendations are a composite of the discussions and may not be attributed to any individual participant, all of whom are listed at the end of the report.
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Summary of Expert Conversations
On October 22, 2012, toward the end of the Atlantic hurricane season, a squall gathered in the Caribbean Sea. Within six hours, it had become a full-blown tropical storm large enough to earn a name: Hurricane Sandy. By the time Sandy dissipated almost a week later, it had killed more than 150 people and become one of the costliest storms in American history. Hundreds of thousands of homes were either damaged or fully destroyed, and 8.5 million people were left without power, in some cases for weeks, in the most densely populated region of the United States.
These numbers do not tell the full story of all the hurdles people faced before, during, and after the storm, nor the fact that for some, the hurdles were higher than for others. For example, FEMA鈥檚 Sandy noted that 鈥渃onfusion鈥 about FEMA鈥檚 role in meeting 鈥渢he immediate lifesaving and life-sustaining needs鈥 of disabled individuals left some without full access to aid. During Hurricane Katrina, the of New Orleans suffered the most. The catastrophic storms that wracked Puerto Rico in 2017 took an especially heavy toll on low-income populations. Challenges that exist along socioeconomic, racial, gender, ability, age, and medical status lines do not disappear during a crisis; indeed, they amplify.
On February 26, 国产视频 gathered a group of disaster responders, resilience builders, scientists, policy experts, technologists, and storytellers to examine how technology might help better meet the needs of the vulnerable and underserved before, during, and after natural disasters. In particular, are there technologies to help build resilience in these populations in advance of disasters?
To create a common operating picture () for the afternoon workshop, 国产视频 moderated conversations with four experts (the livestream is available here) on disaster management, climate change, disability advocacy, and disaster storytelling. The speakers included: , Director of DC鈥檚 HSEMA office; , Director of Climate Central鈥檚 Climate Matters program; , Director of FEMA鈥檚 Office of Disability Integration and Coordination; and , author of The Unthinkable: Who Survives When Disaster Strikes and former 国产视频 fellow.
Emergency Management and Disaster Resilience in the Nation鈥檚 Capital
is the Director of the Homeland Security and Emergency Management Agency (HSEMA) for Washington, D.C. Prior to his current position, he played a similar role in New Jersey鈥檚 Office of Homeland Security and Preparedness, dealing with Sandy during his tenure. The Director of 国产视频鈥檚 Phase Zero project, Sharon Burke, engaged Rodriguez in a conversation about his work.
Rodriguez explained that the 鈥渆mergency鈥 in emergency management covers many bases: domestic terrorist attacks, such as the Boston Marathon bombing; major cyberattacks that can sever communications; and severe storms. All fall within (and all keep him up at night, he said).
While his office invests great effort to be ready for all those contingencies, Rodriguez emphasized that government is not able to do everything alone鈥攖here just isn鈥檛 enough capacity. As such, building relationships with private sector partners during 鈥渂lue sky times鈥 is crucial. Speakers throughout the day echoed this theme, noting that if all the individuals who play an important part in crisis response meet for the first time during a disaster, it鈥檚 already too late for effective crisis response and preparedness.
Even with the additional support from outside partners, however, Rodriguez noted that underserved populations will not get their needs met without advance consideration. For example, older populations with mobility, dietary, and medical restrictions may have specific needs that aren鈥檛 easily met (for example, ? ?) Low-income, predominantly African-American communities in Washington, D.C.鈥檚 Fifth, Seventh, and Eighth Wards face systematic barriers before a disaster even begins that leave them more vulnerable to consequences, said Rodriguez.
Rodriguez emphasized that individuals also have a role to play in improving resilience to disasters. First, he explained that a community will recover best if the individuals themselves are prepared. Knowing your own risks, setting up emergency plans with family members, and knowing where to get information before disaster strikes are all important disaster mitigation (and potentially life saving) strategies. He also noted that he鈥檚 interested in new tools for understanding the vulnerabilities and hazards better, though he had guidance for technologists and toolmakers:
鈥淔or me, it鈥檚 always simplify, simplify, simplify. My boss, the mayor, needs very clear, concise information to make decisions. Sometimes, these tools try to do too many things鈥e lose focus sometimes. What I鈥檓 trying to do is find the simplest, cleanest, most interoperable tool鈥擨 don鈥檛 want to be buying five different tools that do five different things. I鈥檓 trying to consolidate a lot of those efforts in my office.鈥
For me, it's always simplify, simplify, simplify.
Climate Change and Natural Disasters: How the Hazards鈥攁nd Our Understanding of Them鈥攁re Changing
The day鈥檚 second speaker, , is Chief Meteorologist and Climate Matters Program Director at the non-profit research and educational organization, Climate Central. As a former Emmy Award-winning meteorologist, her current work with is aimed at providing easily consumable, relevant, and data-driven resources connecting climate change to weather for meteorologists nationwide. Sharon Burke moderated the discussion.
Woods Placky鈥檚 opening statement left no room for doubt: natural disasters are getting worse and more frequent. The phrase 鈥渂illion dollar disaster鈥 may evoke images of a 鈥溾 type event for many people, but, , there were 14 billion dollar disasters . Moreover, these billion dollar disasters are happening simultaneously, said Woods Placky鈥攚hich places a major strain on our response and recovery systems. In 2016 and 2017, 国产视频鈥檚 Resource Security Program looked at these very issues in Weather Eye, a research effort focused on both the rising natural disaster trends and the ground truth within the affected communities.
At this point, there is little benefit to debating whether or not climate change is happening, said Woods Placky, because it clearly is. It鈥檚 more productive to have conversations about what people can do at their immediate local level to mitigate climate risks and build with climate resilience in mind to prepare for what鈥檚 to come.
There is little benefit to debating whether or not climate change is happening, because it clearly is.
Approaching climate change at the local level is essential because, even though everyone is affected by climate change, it manifests in different ways for different areas, and as such, resilience strategies look different for everyone, too. Someone living in Tornado Alley, for example, might not see the immediate benefit of building flood walls that someone living on a coast might.
Even though there is a strong scientific consensus on climate change, there鈥檚 some reluctance to attribute any specific hurricane to climate change, and , according to Woods Placky. She explained that hurricane trends (specifically, how frequently they鈥檙e happening) are established over the course of decades, and that there鈥檚 little historical data to capture long-term trends from the pre-satellite era. Woods Placky quoted Penn State scientist and retired Navy Rear Admiral David Titley: 鈥淛ust because we don鈥檛 know everything doesn鈥檛 mean we don鈥檛 know anything.鈥 What we do know, she said, is that hurricanes . She attributed that to basic physics: warm water fuels storms. Climate change is warming the oceans close to the coast, which means that storms will worsen right before impact, which may give coastal communities less time to prepare.
In response to a question from the audience, Woods Placky explained that, in her work, constant discussions between the scientists gathering the data and the communicators delivering it to audiences ensure that they 鈥減resent information solidly grounded in science in a way that can meet people where they are.鈥
(Re)defining Vulnerability
, Director of FEMA鈥檚 , was the third speaker of the day. Her office is responsible for ensuring that FEMA鈥檚 programs, policies, and procedures are accessible to and available for people with disabilities. She joined , CEO and Co-Founder of , an online tool that creates actionable information from open source data, in conversation.
In her position, Mastandrea is responsible for disability inclusion at all levels of the FEMA hierarchy. There are headquarters initiatives to train all program staff in disability competency, for example. At the regional level, there is a capacity builder from her office in each federal region. Finally, in the field, there are integration advisors, who ensure that the senior advisors in the field meet the needs of the community.
Though all these activities are important for disability inclusion in disaster planning, Mastandrea emphasized that 鈥渄isaster happens at the local level, so preparedness needs to happen at the local level.鈥 That is, there is no way to standardize disaster response in a way that meets the unique needs of every city, every neighborhood, or even every street: the only way to know what any community needs is to actually know the community. According to Mastandrea, it is important to gain that knowledge in 鈥渂lue sky times,鈥 or in advance of a disaster.
Disaster happens at the local level, so preparedness needs to happen at the local level.
Knowing who makes up a community does not necessarily tell you how to meet their needs, however, especially if they don鈥檛 know what they need themselves. 鈥淧eople don鈥檛 know what they don鈥檛 know,鈥 said Mastandrea. She emphasized the valuable role disability advocates can play. Through training, education, and outreach, advocacy organizations can help individuals appraise their own situations and plan according to their needs. Communication is the common thread in all of this: knowing how to get information not only to disabled people, but also from them, is crucial. They know their risks better than anyone else, are best equipped to know their needs, and must be included during disaster management and mitigation discussions. An accessible community, said Mastandrea, is an inherently resilient community.
, a participant in the workshop and professor at the University of Maryland, commented during the discussion with Mastandrea:
鈥淚 want us to flip the lens in how we think about vulnerability鈥攚e use these secondary indicators of race, gender, class鈥攁nd I think those things work on a higher level in terms of identifying those groups… [People in this room] need to think about what is our role in contributing to vulnerable communities, in terms of how we鈥檙e planning, how we鈥檙e zoning, what technology and private sector resources are available to support these communities, because I don鈥檛 think these communities are inherently vulnerable鈥攊n fact, I think they鈥檙e the opposite: they鈥檙e inherently resilient. But, systematic and structural barriers place these groups in vulnerable situations.鈥
I don鈥檛 think these communities are inherently vulnerable鈥攊n fact, I think they鈥檙e the opposite: they鈥檙e inherently resilient.
The Human Angle: The Importance of Storytelling about Disasters
The final session featured , a journalist, former 国产视频 Fellow, and New York Times best-selling author of The Unthinkable: Who Survives When Disaster Strikes鈥攁nd Why. Amanda spoke with , reporter for WBUR Boston and recipient of the Weather Eye Award for Local Reporting for his work on severe weather and resilience in Massachusetts.
Ripley described three stories that tend to surface during a disaster: stories about the victims, stories assigning blame to a perpetrator, and stories about heroes鈥攖hose everyday people who rise up and take action during crisis. Though perhaps easily written and consumed at the time of a tragedy, these stories actually have the unintended side effect of disempowering readers. For example, she said, articles on climate change tend to include terrifying statistics and anecdotal evidence that seems intended to instill existential dread and panic in readers. Writers may intend to spur action from readers through this sort of doomsday storytelling, Ripley acknowledged, but it tends to have the opposite effect鈥 and may actually encourage denial.
Some reporters don鈥檛 think it鈥檚 their responsibility to 鈥済ive hope鈥 to their readers, noted Ripley. 鈥淚鈥檓 not sure what your job is,鈥 she responded, adding:
鈥淚 don鈥檛 think your job is to give people hope鈥 but your job is to help people make informed decisions in a very complex world. Part of that is not scaring the crap out of them to the point where they just tune out.鈥
I don't think your job is to give people hope…but your job is to help people make informed decisions in a very complex world.
The pathway to making those informed decisions, Ripley said, is through trust. It means trusting ordinary people to not panic when they read about disasters, and using 鈥渢he power of the anecdote,鈥 as Rios called it, to give readers the agency to be their own disaster response team. Reporters are uniquely qualified to translate data into relatable, empathy-generating narratives. Knowing statistics about how frequently planes crash (not often), noted Ripley, does not dissuade dread before a flight as well as hearing the story about someone who survived one (and thereby learning how you might live through one, too). Enabling action is key: .
Ripley鈥檚 takeaway advice: 鈥淒eputize everyone. Give everyone information. People talk to an average of five people before they decide to evacuate. [When everyone is informed], when people inevitably mill around for advice, make sure they get good advice.鈥
Working Group Recommendations
Following the expert presentations, workshop participants broke into working groups to discuss concrete recommendations that could help the disaster resilience ecosystem better use technology to build resilience, particularly in vulnerable communities. Each working group discussed the applications of one specific technology鈥攔anging from ride sharing apps to neighborhood messaging to mapping鈥攁nd how such technologies might be deployed to improve disaster resilience.
The groups identified challenges and avenues for exploration that intersected across five major themes: the establishment of a common language and lexicon around resilience and vulnerability; the effective gathering, use, and sharing of data; the opportunities and challenges of public-private partnerships; the need to convene across sectors and silos to improve research and development; and the need for improved physical and virtual infrastructure to maintain systems and improve access to services. While participants made most of the following recommendations with national and federal government leaders in mind, many of these recommendations can apply to regional, state, and local actors as well. A few also pertain to the private sector.
Establish a Common Lexicon around Resilience and Vulnerability
A number of working groups detailed the importance of having a shared vocabulary and understanding of what it means to be resilient and what it means for a community to be vulnerable. Participants proposed the following measures:
- With input from agencies, sectors, and affected communities, develop a state and/or federal Resilience Index to determine readiness in communities. Use the index as a common frame when discussing resilience, preparedness, and vulnerability.
- Private and public leaders must leverage the advantages of mapping technologies to visualize disaster vulnerability and structural vulnerabilities (like race and poverty) to generate insights into uniquely vulnerable communities.
- Include perspectives of residents in vulnerable communities in the development and rollout of the Resilience Index.
Develop Standards for Gathering, Using, and Sharing Data
All working groups mentioned the importance of actionable data in both mitigation and response scenarios. To collect, use, and share data effectively, groups identified a number of action steps:
- Increase access to government, historical, and environmental data by making sure they are available to the public and machine readable.
- Ensure that public and private data shows up in systems that are interoperable across the public, private, and non-profit sectors, and that different kinds of data (satellite imagery, flood data, crowdsourced data, etc.) can be aggregated across platforms.
- Create intentional pathways for citizen-scientists to provide community-based data in mitigation and adaptation scenarios, especially in communities that are identified as vulnerable.
- Develop protocols in both public and private sectors to use and verify crowdsourced or citizen-provided data in real-time response scenarios.
- Develop legal frameworks to allow for the sharing of personally identifiable information (PII) in tightly defined response contexts.
- Identify filters to sift through volumes of data for generating actionable real-time information and intelligence.
Expand and Regulate Public-Private Partnerships
Event participants acknowledged the promise of public-private partnerships and suggested a number of guidelines for building these kinds of partnerships in the disaster response field:
- Protect vulnerable populations through regulations, disincentives, or incentives to enable private companies to provide services without regard to the profitability of those services.
- Enable private companies to offer disaster services (such as ridesharing or flood map modeling) by writing broad agreements that allow a range of companies to engage as government partners.
- Anticipate liability and insurance questions when considering the use of private resources in response scenarios.
- Establish a pilot, such as for ridesharing services during a disaster, in a controlled environment, such as a military base.
Convene for Better Research and Development
The importance of convening actors from different sectors to spark innovation, research, and technology development featured in a number of working groups. Recommendations included:
- Build 鈥渟andbox spaces鈥 to bring together experts from public, private, and non-profit sectors, as well as academia, and, crucially, technology users themselves, to develop better technologies.
- Break down silos by hosting events such as hackathons and building incubators or accelerators that work with government to deliver on disaster resilience needs.
- Learn lessons about the use and deployment of technology in disaster response from the international context.
Improve Physical Infrastructure for Readiness and in Response
The working groups identified a number of physical infrastructure needs as crucial to the continued use of technology in developing disaster resilience, especially in vulnerable communities. Groups proposed the following:
- Improve broadband access, particularly in rural areas.
- Build and improve on existing systems of ground sensors and other data collection devices that monitor the environmental conditions that serve as indicators for disasters.
- Supplement technological sensors and satellite data with a repository of community-provided data.
- Build redundancies into the power grid, since electricity is essential to run many of the technologies.
- Update housing codes and building standards to meet community needs when rebuilding after a disaster.
Workshop Attendees
| Ramiro Arevalo World Central Kitchen | Jonathan Monken PJM |
| Alexandra Bender Rasier LLC | Juliette Murphy FloodMapp |
| Fontaine Bland Ogilvy | Evan Musolino Argonne National Laboratory |
| Sharon Burke 国产视频 | Brooks Nelson U.S. Chamber of Commerce |
| Anthony Burn Radiant Earth Foundation | Nobuyuki Okumura George Washington University |
| Martin Chrisney KMPG IDAS Institute | Kyle Oberly Maryland Emergency Management Agency |
| John Conger Conger Strategies & Solutions | Yuliya Panfil 国产视频 |
| Matthew Cowles National Emergency Management Association | Richard Passarelli Atkins |
| Susan Diegelman AT&T | Hana Passen 国产视频 |
| Heather Goetsch U.S. Department of Energy | Joseph Porcelli NextDoor |
| David Green NASA | Ryan Prosser FloodMapp |
| Anna Mae Green Radiant Earth Foundation | Simon Rios WBUR Boston |
| Sean Griffin Disaster Intelligence | Amanda Ripley The Atlantic, fmr. 国产视频 |
| Katie Gronsky The Pew Charitable Trusts | Tim Robustelli 国产视频 |
| Pamela Hathaway American Red Cross | Ryan Rockabrand FEMA |
| Marccus Hendricks University of Maryland | Chris Rodriguez D.C. HSEMA |
| Robert Hershey Robert L. Hershey, P.E. | Denice Ross Beeck Center for Social Impact and Innovation |
| Ed Hill Team Rubicon Global | Ninette Sadusky Office of the Oceanographer, U.S. Department of the Navy |
| Kristiane Huber Center for Climate and Energy Solutions | Michael Serach U.S. Department of Agriculture |
| Jessica Justus Partnership for Inclusive Disaster Strategies | Beth Slaninka Nexight Group |
| Jason Keller U.S. Department of Agriculture | Dustin Snowadzky American Association of People with Disabilities |
| Dalla Kirschbaum NASA | Mike Specian U.S. Department of Energy |
| Austin Lord Cornell University | Carver Struve NASA |
| Michelle Madeley FEMA | Zuraya Tapia-Hadley Facebook |
| Tim Manning Pacific Disaster Center | Stephanie Tennyson One Concern |
| Brandi Martin U.S. Department of Energy | Sarah Tuneberg Geospiza |
| Linda Mastandrea FEMA | Dennis Wille U.S. Army, 国产视频 |
| John McMullen Uber | Bernadette Woods-Placky Climate Central |
| Christopher Mellon 国产视频 | Frank Zachar Universal Vantage LLC |
| Rebekah Mena DC Homeland Security and Emergency Management Agency | Rachel Zimmerman 国产视频 |