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In Short

How Los Angeles Is the Future of Cities

Los Angeles
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鈥淚 love America,鈥 the Scottish-American comedian Craig Ferguson once quipped, 鈥渁nd L.A. is not very far from America. It is only a half hour by plane.鈥 Though jokes about 鈥渙ut-of-touch鈥 Los Angeles abound, the reality of life for most Angelenos isn鈥檛 red carpets and Hollywood, but the same as many Americans: finding work, building lives, and nurturing families.

Since the U.S. election last November, urban centers on the coasts like Los Angeles have been the subject of hand-wringing about 鈥渃oastal elites鈥 vs. 鈥渉eartland鈥 America. There鈥檚 鈥淭rump country,鈥 this narrative suggests, and the rest鈥攁nd Los Angeles is hardly Trump country. In fact, Hillary Clinton by a 50 percent margin in Los Angeles county.

Cue the out-of-touch elite Hollywood jokes. Cue the Beverly Hills 90210 stereotypes.

But not so fast. Trump had laid out a vision of economic renewal in the United States as driven by manufacturing and infrastructure investment. To learn how this might work, the President might just take a closer look at Los Angeles. More than that, the city of angels might offer a road map for, well, how to make America great again.

First, consider this: The Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim metropolitan area is an economic colossus. If it were a country, its would be the 17th largest economy in the world, larger than the Netherlands and oil-rich Saudi Arabia, and roughly on par with Turkey. Yes, the entertainment industry plays a role, but it鈥檚 a supporting one.

The lead actor in this Los Angeles success story is an unknown, unsung hero celebrated by Trump (as well as former candidate Clinton): infrastructure. This infrastructure supports .聽 聽

Let鈥檚 start with the adjoining ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach. entering the United States pass through these ports. These two ports are Asia鈥檚 consumer gateway to America. They鈥檙e respectively in terms of busiest U.S. ports, and, combined, they dwarf the third busiest gateway: the port authority of New York and Newark.

There鈥檚 a good chance that the shirt you bought at H&M, those sneakers on your feet, or that desk in your office first landed in Los Angeles or Long Beach. One in 13 jobs in Los Angeles鈥144,000 of them鈥攁re related to the port of Los Angeles. are supported by the port鈥檚 activities.

Container ships from East Asia that call on Los Angeles often make the port of Oakland their next stop, where they load up on U.S. agricultural goods before they head back to Asia. Container shipping lines are like fixed bus or train routes. The closer you are to those routes, the more connected you are鈥攁nd in today鈥檚 global economy, connectivity is a vital currency.聽

Just ask Singapore, Hong Kong, or Dubai鈥攃ities that have thrived by building the infrastructure of connectivity, especially massive container terminal ports and airport hubs that feed global traffic. In fact, it鈥檚 hardly a stretch to say that the future lies with countries and cities that are more connected, not the ones that are more protected. I see this when I travel in emerging markets, and I also see it in U.S. cities like Los Angeles.

The Port of Los Angeles supports the city鈥檚 manufacturing prowess. Yes, the city known for Hollywood is actually the largest manufacturing center in the United States. From aerospace to electronic goods, furniture to plastics, Los Angeles is a manufacturing powerhouse, feeding into global supply chains and exporting around the world.

On a recent visit to Los Angeles, as I drove the 105 interstate from Los Angeles International Airport, better known as LAX, toward the city鈥檚 new Chicago-style downtown area (that鈥檚 right, L.A. now has a legitimate, though still rising, downtown), I spotted some of the big names of manufacturing lining the highways: Tesla, Raytheon, Boeing. But look closer, and you鈥檒l see a swarm of smaller companies feeding into the local manufacturing supply chain.

LAX is also a major force in the southern California infrastructure-economic-trade story. It鈥檚 the in the world and among the top five in air cargo tonnage in the United States. If you鈥檙e reading this article on an iPhone, chances are that your phone first landed in LAX aboard a Cathay Pacific flight from Hong Kong.

And, LAX is in the midst of a dizzying to unclog congestion in one of the world鈥檚 busiest and fastest growing airports. Airlines are following the city money with their own money. The 鈥渂ig three鈥 U.S. carriers鈥擠elta, United, and American鈥攁re all investing heavily in terminal expansions at LAX.

Los Angeles is often seen as a trend-setter, but in its economic strategy, it is a trend-follower. The city has invested heavily in the infrastructure of connectivity, a winning formula from ancient civilizations to today. Cities like Los Angeles are why the United States ranks number one worldwide on the , and why the U.S. economy remains so large and powerful.

A found that 600 cities account for about 60 percent of global GDP. This city-heavy global economy is even heavier in the United States. In fact, America鈥檚 top twenty metropolitan areas account for of the country鈥檚 GDP.

They also tended to vote against Donald Trump.

Even in states where Trump won fairly handily, like Texas, he lost in the most globally and regionally connected county鈥擠allas County. Dallas, the city famed for its oil industry, is also one of the great cities of the world, an economy fed and fueled by a world-class airport. That airport attracts businesses, investment, and trade鈥攆ueling local economies and creating jobs.

While Trump tapped into a justified vein of frustration outside America鈥檚 thriving cities, in post-industrial centers facing prolonged recessions and stagnant wages, the best way to help those towns would be through greater connectivity across America, and the world.

America鈥檚 future is, in many ways, tied to the future of its cities. As I strolled downtown Los Angeles on a recent visit, peering up at the newly minted skyscrapers, I saw a city scrapping and competing to take its place among the great urban commercial hubs of the world.

That鈥檚, well, pretty great if you ask me.

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Afshin Molavi
Afshin Molavi

Senior Research Fellow, Future Security; National Fellow

How Los Angeles Is the Future of Cities