David Sterman
Deputy Director, Future Security
This report examines the proliferation, development, and use of armed drones. The World of Drones database draws on media reporting and other open-source information to track countries and non-state actors that possess armed drones, are developing them, or have deployed them in combat. It also documents non-state actors, such as ISIS, who have artificially equipped over-the-counter drones with improvised explosives or those who have obtained military-grade unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), like Hezbollah.
The International Security Program would like to thank previous authors from whom this current version is built. Thank you for the time and effort you dedicated to making this database as strong as possible. A special thanks to Alyssa Sims, Albert Ford, and Christopher Mellon.
Drones have unequivocally changed the character of warfare in strategy, action, and perception. The era of armed drone use has arrived, and the rapid proliferation of drone technology among states and militant groups alike poses a new threat to the international community.
Who has drones? How are they getting them? This site seeks to answer those questions, using an analysis of hundreds of news reports and government documents to track which countries possess armed drones and how they acquired them.
More than ten countries have conducted drone strikes: the United States, Israel, the United Kingdom, Pakistan, Iraq, Nigeria, Iran, Turkey, Azerbaijan, Russia, and the United Arab Emirates. But many other countries, including Saudi Arabia, India, and China, among others, maintain armed drones in their arsenals.
In 国产视频鈥檚 World of Drones database, countries are sorted into three groups: those that use drones in combat, those that possess armed drones but have not used them in combat, and those that are developing armed drones. A country鈥檚 drone capabilities are classified according to the U.S. Air Force tier system. Tier I includes low altitude, low endurance drones like the Orbiter; Tier II is comprised of medium altitude, long endurance drones like the Reaper or the retired Predator; and Tier II+ applies to high altitude, long endurance drones like the Global Hawk. Mini and micro drones are not classified in the tier system.
The United States, Israel, and China are the biggest producers and sellers of drones.
The United States and Israel are the biggest producers and sellers of drones. America鈥檚 leading combat drone is the MQ-9 Reaper, manufactured by General Atomics, which the Air Force has used to support operations around the world for . After the September 11th attacks, the United States conducted the first strikes under the burgeoning U.S. drone program using the MQ-1 Predator, which the Air Force flew for 21 years. On February 27, 2017, the Department of Defense announced the retirement of the Predator drone to 鈥渒eep up with the continuously evolving battlespace environment.鈥 The United States has sold drones only to NATO members, but approved selling to India in 2018 If the deal goes through, this will be the first non-NATO sale the United States has initiated.
Israel鈥檚 IAI Heron is designed to compete with the Reaper. Israel is the largest exporter of drones in the world. Israel accounted for 41 percent of all drones exported between 2001 and 2011, according to a database compiled by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), though Israel refuses to release the full list of countries to which it has sold military arms. A partial list of recipients includes the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, France, Australia, Germany, Spain, Brazil, India, China, the Netherlands, Azerbaijan, and Nigeria.
China is a and has filled gaps in the market with its more liberal export policy. In 2015, Pakistan, Iraq, and Nigeria all conducted strikes using armed drones supplied by, or developed in coordination with, China.
In November 2013, Pakistan鈥檚 military unveiled two domestically produced drones that experts say appear to be , a model which Pakistan also has in its arsenal. The CH-3 is one of China鈥檚 models, with exports to both Pakistan and Nigeria, and an upgraded Chinese model, the CH-4, has appeared in arsenals across the Middle East. On , Iraqi armed forces released of a CH-4 in action, striking an ISIS position in Ramadi. Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Egypt, and Jordan are to have as well. Saudi Arabia and the UAE have operated in their campaign .
A new addition to the Caihong family, the , debuted in 2016. The CH-5 has increased altitude, operational, and payload capacities. In addition to many others, China has the Wing Loong II, which is its large reconnaissance and strike system, as well as the AV500W, China鈥檚 first strike capable unmanned rotorcraft.
According to SIPRI鈥檚 arms transfers database and Statista, India and the United Kingdom are the largest importers of drones internationally. According to a Business Insider report based on SIPRI data, India accounted for 22.5 percent of drone imports between 1985-2014. In addition to its imports, India also has Unmanned Combat Aerial Vehicles (UCAVs) in its drone arsenal. On November 16, 2016, India鈥檚 Rustom-II, an armed Medium-Altitude, Long-Endurance (MALE) drone, successfully completed a test flight.
From 2010-2014, the United Kingdom was the largest importer of drones, accounting for of drone imports for this period. The United Kingdom produces small, MALE, and Watchkeeper drones, which are based on an imported Hermes 450 drone from Israel.
The United Kingdom Protector RG MK1鈥攁 General Atomics MQ-9B Sky Guardian鈥攚ill replace the previously used MQ-9 Reapers and will enter the market by 2024. The will also launch its efforts to develop drone swarms in the 2020s.
For nearly a decade, the small group of countries that had conducted drone strikes was limited to the United States, the United Kingdom, and Israel. But, that club expanded with the entry of Pakistan in 2015. Pakistan used its domestic model, the Burraq鈥攎odeled after the Chinese CH-3鈥攖o strike militants in the North Waziristan tribal region. The Pakistani government announced the strike publicly.
Nigeria and Iraq both used versions of China鈥檚 popular Caihong drone when striking at militants within their borders. Turkey first launched a strike in 2016 against presumed ISIS militants on its border region just a year after demonstrating armed drone development capability. Iran also launched its first strike in 2016, though it has been developing its drone capability for decades.
Over three dozen countries in this World of Drones database have armed drones, but not all of them produced their UCAVs at home.
Many countries seeking armed drone capability without the capacity to develop UCAVs domestically have turned to . Chinese-made drones have been used extensively to combat extremism outside of China, but the Chinese military has avoided conducting lethal strikes themselves. However, in 2013, The New York Times that China considered using a drone to kill a Burmese drug lord, but opted to capture and try him in court. He received a death sentence.
European nations have acted collectively to develop the next generation of armed drones, most notably the nEUROn technology demonstrator and the unmanned aircraft. Resembling the American X-47B, a drone primarily operated by the U.S. Navy in carrier-based operations, but purportedly than present-day 鈥淧redator-class鈥 drones, the nEUROn UCAV demonstrator unveiled on January 20, 2012 in France is a product of a joint European effort France, Italy, Greece, Spain, Switzerland, and Sweden. It is the stealth combat drone developed in Europe.
In another showcasing of cooperative European stealth drone design, the 鈥,鈥 consisting of France, Germany, Greece, Italy, the Netherlands, Poland and Spain, agreed on November 19, 2013 to jointly develop armed MALE drones.
The desire to develop armed drones domestically extends beyond European borders. , , , , , and have taken steps toward independent armed drone production with varying results. Seeking protection against neighboring China and Pakistan, India developed Rustom-I UAVs in 2009 and armed Rustom-II MALE UAVs in 2015. In August 2019, Russia鈥檚 Ministry of Defense released footage of its , or Hunter, drone. While Taiwan remains in the research and development stage, Pakistan, Iran, Turkey, and Russia have succeeded in developing armed drones.
Several non-state actors have incorporated drones into their operations. While rebel groups from South America to the Middle East have used commercially available rotary-winged drones to surveil enemy positions, more tech-savvy groups such as ISIS have armed these over-the-counter drones and used them in combat.
The United States and the United Kingdom have used drones to kill their own citizens abroad. Pakistan, Iraq, Nigeria, and Turkey have struck militants within their borders, and Israel has conducted strikes within the occupied Palestinian territories. The legality of drone strikes is unclear under international law, and the legal status of using drones to kill citizens abroad鈥攐r within controlled territory鈥攊s even less so.
Where Citizens of the United States and United Kingdom Were Targeted
Anwar al-Awlaki was targeted and by a U.S. drone strike in Yemen on , along with three other al Qaeda militants. One of these three was Saudi-born American citizen Samir Khan, editor of al Qaeda鈥檚 English language online magazine, Inspire. Anwar al-Awlaki鈥檚 American-born son, 16-year-old Abdulrahman Anwar al-Awlaki, was killed in an , drone strike on an outdoor cafe in Shabwa, Yemen. The target of the strike was reportedly not Abdulrahman, but Egyptian al-Qaeda leader Ibrahim al-Banna. According to a BBC , a memo from U.S. Assistant Attorney General David Barron to Attorney General Eric Holder 鈥渃ited a 2006 Israeli Supreme Court decision that targeted killings were a legitimate form of self defence[sic].鈥
Mohammed Emwazi, the Kuwaiti-born British ISIS member known as 鈥淛ihadi John鈥 was killed on , when his vehicle was targeted by drones in Raqqa, Syria. His car was hit with a hellfire missile fired from an American drone. Two British citizens, Reyaad Khan and Ruhul Amin, were killed in a targeted RAF drone strike in Raqqa, Syria on .
Where Pakistan Conducts Strikes at Home
On , Pakistan conducted a drone strike鈥攗sing an indigenously built drone鈥攊n Shawal Valley in North Waziristan, a semiautonomous tribal region bordering Afghanistan. Three 鈥渉igh-profile鈥 terrorists were killed, according to the Pakistani Army鈥檚 spokesman.
Where Iraq Conducts Strikes at Home
On , Iraq鈥檚 Army Aviation unit published a video on YouTube that showed four drone strikes that reportedly killed 10 ISIS fighters. The Iraqi military conducted the strike with China鈥檚 Caihong 4 (CH-4).
Where Nigeria Conducts Strikes at Home
On , Nigeria reported the military鈥檚 first use of an armed drone, striking at the militant group Boko Haram. Nigeria used the Caihong 3 (CH-3) to conduct the strike.
As export laws loosen internationally and drone technology proliferates, nations mired in internal conflict (i.e. insurgent and terrorist threats) may choose to strike within their own borders at higher rates.
Where Turkey Conducts Strikes at Home
In 2016, Turkey deployed armed drones in domestic counter-terrorism operations in the southeastern Hakkari province. According to Turkish Defense Minister Fikri Isik, the drones killed people in strikes on militants in the first two months of their deployment.
Where Israel Conducts Strikes within Controlled Territory
Israel has made use of armed drones in the Gaza Strip. Israeli drones have targeted a number of Hamas leaders, including senior military commander Ahmed Jabari, who was killed on .
When the Houthi rebels in Yemen first used maritime drones in January 2017, the assault on a Saudi frigate highlighted the little-known development of sea-capable semi-autonomous weapons. While maritime drone technology is not yet proliferating at the pace of aerial drones, countries like the United States, the United Kingdom, and Russia are already looking seaward in terms of drone development.
The U.S. Navy sees maritime drones as a key part of the , which seeks to leverage next-generation technologies against America鈥檚 adversaries. Unmanned Underwater Vehicles (UUVs) enable the creation of an underwater intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance that U.S. aerial and land-based networks. According to a 2016 DoD report entitled 鈥溾 Submarine based UUVs will to extend the effective range of the host submarine鈥檚 sensors and weaponry. These drones will be used to carry out missions considered too dangerous for crewed vehicles, like , and to serve as decoys to disguise the locations of manned submarines.
In delivered aboard the USS Princeton on February 3, 2016, Defense Secretary Ash Carter said the United States would invest 鈥溾 in UUVs. In September 2017, Unmanned Undersea Vehicle Squadron (UUVRON) 1 was established. The U.S. Navy that 鈥淯UVRON-1 has been developing the tactics, techniques and procedures that will shape how the Navy will use the unmanned undersea vehicles.鈥 In June 2019, the Navy reported that the Naval Undersea Warfare Center partnered with UUVRON-1 to create to assist with 鈥渆xtend[ing] the reach of the fleet; including near-shore and denied areas.鈥 Technologists have started developing micro unmanned underwater vehicle and unmanned surface vehicle technology, as well as UUVs for the .
In April 2016, the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) christened the , a 132-foot autonomous ship designed to locate enemy submarines. The Sea Hunter made its autonomous round-trip from California to Hawaii between late 2018 and early 2019.
In December 2016, the U.S. Navy that a swarm of autonomous surface vessels could work cooperatively to patrol a harbor. The drone boats are programmed to identify and track potentially threatening vessels, both . The , introduced in 2016, is a large reconnaissance UUV that can operate autonomously and surface to send data to its operator via satellite. In August 2019, the Navy its plan to build larger, corvette-sized USVs to keep the United States competitive against other great powers.
The British Royal Navy the United States鈥 interest in maritime drones. The United States and United Kingdom staged the first exercise in Scotland in October 2016, where drones from different countries were to work as a unit.
In August 2015, Russia launched a capable of launching crewed mini-subs as well as UUVs like the deepwater surveillance drone . In September 2015, the Washington Free Beacon that Russia was developing a stealthy, nuclear-armed UUV called the 鈥溾. In 2018, a leaked copy of the draft Pentagon Nuclear Posture Review Russia鈥檚 underwater nuclear weapon operability.
In June 2018, China launched its UUV technology. China also has sophisticated underwater drones, such as the and UUV glider.