Oscar Pocasangre
Senior Data Analyst, Political Reform Program
In a healthy democracy, citizens rely on accurate information. As voters, we need to know about candidates and their positions to align our votes with our policy preferences. We depend on information about politicians鈥 performance to hold them accountable at the ballot box. And we need timely news on issues impacting our lives to identify the challenges we want politicians to address.
Misinformation threatens all of this鈥攂ut not for the reasons commonly held. Conventional wisdom asserts that misinformation poses a threat to democracy because it tricks us into believing false information and that social media is to blame for how it facilitates the creation of misinformation, speeds up its spread, and creates echo chambers for its users.
A couple of factors, however, undermine this narrative. As Aaron Tiedemann points out in a new report from 国产视频鈥檚 Political Reform program, misinformation is not a new phenomenon and long predates the rise of social media platforms. It鈥檚 also really hard to persuade and change people鈥檚 minds when it comes to politics, as has shown. And some of the widely discussed solutions to curb misinformation by tweaking social media platforms do little to curb polarization or change political beliefs. on Facebook decreases the amount of political news users are exposed to but has no effect on their levels of polarization. And doesn鈥檛 alter levels of ideological extremism or beliefs in false claims.
So if misinformation is not new and it鈥檚 not changing our beliefs, and if tweaking social media platforms isn鈥檛 helping much, what is going on?
The Political Reform report forces us to think about misinformation differently. The real problem is not that misinformation is tricking us, but that we find misinformation useful鈥攁nd why we find it useful may point us towards effective solutions to curb it.
In the United States, we tend to readily consume misinformation because we are, already, deeply polarized. Among OECD countries, the U.S. has some of the of , characterized by dislike or distrust for members of another political party. When our politics are a constant power struggle between one party versus the other and the two parties keep drifting further apart, there is a need to establish a strong ingroup identity while undermining the standing of the other party.
Misinformation helps us do this. It provides confirmation that and the opposing group is the 鈥渂ad one.鈥 For partisans, misinformation helps signal group loyalty and status while making members of the other party look bad. That鈥檚 why those who express the most outgroup hatred are the 鈥 and selectively share content that is useful for derogating [opponents].鈥
At the root of the issue are our electoral institutions. The winner-take-all system in the U.S. has resulted in a two-party system that clearly demarcates the ingroup versus the outgroup, the winners and the losers. Because losing an election in this system completely shuts parties out of power鈥攗nlike in proportional electoral system鈥攖he costs of losing are quite painful. Making things worse, with many other identities, that when a voter鈥檚 party loses an election, it feels personal and hurts their standing relative to the opposition. It becomes convenient and more comforting to seek out misinformation that or disparages the other party as cheaters than to come to terms with an electoral loss.
Once we consider why we want fake news and why misinformation is so useful in a highly polarized society, we start seeing misinformation, its implications for democracy, and possible cures to the problem differently:
Interventions to reduce misinformation, like fact-checking, media literacy, and changes to the algorithms of platforms, are necessary stopgaps and we need more research on how these play out. But we also need to keep our eyes on the politics and deepen our understanding of how political reforms might affect misinformation. To address the root causes of misinformation, our efforts should be focused on making misinformation less useful to voters, politicians, and media companies. That requires structural and institutional changes like reforming our electoral institutions to move beyond the winner-take-all system and reduce the current us-vs-them mentality in our politics.